Buying A Home

supply

What Do Supply and Demand Tell Us About Today’s Housing Market?

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What Do Supply and Demand Tell Us About Today’s Housing Market?

There’s a well-known economic theory – the law of supply and demand – that explains what’s happening with prices in the current real estate market. Put simply, when demand for an item is high, prices rise. When the supply of the item increases, prices fall. Of course, when demand is very high and supply is very low, prices can rise significantly.

Understanding the impact both supply and demand have can provide the answers to a few popular questions about today’s housing market:

  • Why are prices rising?
  • Where are prices headed?
  • What does this mean for homebuyers?

Why Are Prices Rising?

According to the latest Home Price Insights report from CoreLogic, home prices have risen 18.1% since this time last year. But what’s driving the increase?

Recent buyer and seller activity data from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) helps answer that question. When we take NAR’s buyer activity data and compare it to the seller traffic during the same timeframe, we can see buyer demand continues to outpace seller activity by a wide margin. In other words, the demand for homes is significantly greater than the current supply that’s available to buy (see maps below):

This combination of low supply and high demand is what’s driving home prices up. Bill McBride, author of the Calculated Risk blog, puts it best, saying:

“By some measures, house prices seem high, but the recent price increases make sense from a supply and demand perspective.”

Where Are Prices Headed?

The supply of homes for sale will greatly affect where prices head over the coming months. Many experts forecast prices will continue to increase, but they’ll likely appreciate at a slower rate.

Buyers hoping to purchase the home of their dreams may see this as welcome news. In this case, perspective is important: a slight moderation of home prices does not mean prices will depreciate or fall. Price increases may occur at a slower pace, but experts still expect them to rise.

Five major entities that closely follow the real estate market forecast home prices will continue appreciating through 2022 (see graph below):

What Does This Mean for Homebuyers?

If you’re waiting to enter the market because you’re expecting prices to drop, you may end up paying more in the long run. Even if price increases occur at a slower rate next year, prices are still projected to rise. That means the home of your dreams will likely cost even more in 2022.

Bottom Line

The truth is, high demand and low supply are what’s driving up home prices in today’s housing market. And while prices may increase at a slower pace in the coming months, experts still expect them to rise. If you’re a potential homebuyer, connect with a trusted real estate advisor today to discuss what that could mean for you if you wait even longer to buy.

Information courtesy of <a href=”https://www.keepingcurrentmatters.com/blog/” target=”_blank” rel=”noopener”>Keeping Current Matters</a>

selling in october

Early October is the Sweet Spot for Buyers

Early October is the Sweet Spot for Buyers

Are you looking to buy a home? If so, we’ve got good news for you.

While there’s no denying the housing market is having a great year, many of the headlines are focused on the perks for sellers. But what about buyers today? As a buyer, you’re likely braving bidding wars and weighing low mortgage rates versus price appreciation as you search for your dream home. If you find yourself a bit discouraged, hear this: there are clear signs buyers may have more opportunities this fall.

According to realtor.com, the sweet spot for buyers is just around the corner. In a recent study, experts analyzed housing market trends by looking at data from the past several years. When applied to the current market, experts determined the ideal week to buy a home this year. The research says:

“Nationally, the best time to buy in 2021 is the week of October 3-9. This week historically has shown the best balance of market conditions that favor buyers.”

So, what’s that mean for you? If you’re looking to buy a home, there’s a golden window of opportunity coming. Here’s what you can expect from that week.

Increased Housing Supply

The number of homes available for sale should increase. According to realtor.com, you can expect to see more new listings come to market the week of October 3. The findings estimate we’ll see roughly 17.6% more homes available than we saw at the start of the year.

This means you’ll have more options to choose from which should be a welcome relief in a market with tight housing supply.

Fewer Bidding Wars

With more homes available, you should also see a slight decline in the number of bidding wars. Having more options means buyers may not be competing as intensely for the homes on the market because there are more choices to go around.

This means when you write an offer, you may have less competition and a better chance of being the top bid. Just remember, it’s still important to come in with a strong offer.

Adjusted Homes Prices

As we move into the end of the year, the findings from realtor.com note this week may also be one of the peak weeks for price reductions in 2021. Historically the data shows an average of 7.0% of homes have a price reduction that week. Why? When housing supply ticks up, sellers need to look for other ways to make their house stand out.

This means, while home prices are still appreciating overall, you may see some homes with price adjustments from eager sellers. The process of closing a house takes time. To close before end of year, sellers may be more motivated this October.

Bottom Line

If you’re in the market for a home, don’t lose steam now. Data shows early October may give you the long-awaited opportunity to find the home of your dreams. Lean on a trusted real estate professional as your ally and advisor to help keep you motivated so you can find the perfect home.

Lake Home

Demand for Vacation Homes Is Still Strong

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Demand for Vacation Homes Is Still Strong

The pandemic created a tremendous interest in vacation homes across the country. Throughout the last year, many people purchased second homes as a safe getaway from the challenges of the health crisis. With many professionals working from home and many students taking classes remotely, it made sense to see a migration away from cities and into counties with more vacation destinations.

The 2021 Vacation Home Counties Report from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) shows that this increase in vacation home sales continues in 2021. The report examines sales in counties where “vacant seasonal, occasional, or recreational use housing account for at least 20% of the housing stock” and compares that data to the overall residential market.

Their findings show:

  • Vacation home sales rose by 16.4% to 310,600 in 2020, outpacing the 5.6% growth in total existing-home sales.
  • Vacation home sales are up 57.2% year-over-year during January-April 2021 compared to the 20% year-over-year change in total existing-home sales.
  • Home prices rose more in vacation home counties – the median existing price rose by 14.2% in vacation home counties, compared to 10.1% in non-vacation home counties.

This coincides with data released by Zelman & Associates on the increase in sales of second homes throughout the country last year.

As the data above shows, there is still high demand for second getaway homes in 2021 even as the pandemic winds down. While we may see a rise in second-home sellers as life returns to normal, ongoing low supply and high demand will continue to provide those sellers with a good return on their investment.

Bottom Line

If you’re one of the many people who purchased a vacation home during the pandemic, you’re likely wondering what this means for you. If you’re considering selling that home as life returns to normal, you have options. There are still plenty of buyers in the market. If, on the other hand, you want to keep your second home, enjoy it! Current market conditions show that it’s a good ongoing investment.

Information courtesy of: Keeping Current Matters

buyers agent

5 Benefits of Hiring a Buyer’s Agent When Searching for Your Dream Property

5 Benefits of Hiring a Buyer’s Agent When Searching for Your Dream Property

Whether it’s a dream vacation property or a place that you’ll want to call home forever, buying a house on Martha’s Vineyard is an exciting adventure. It’s can also be overwhelming. There are so many steps between the first time you set eyes on the property you want as your own and the day you sign on the dotted line.

What many home buyers don’t realize is that they don’t need to go through the process alone. There are real estate professionals that work for the buyer only, keeping their needs and best interests in mind while making the process of becoming a homeowner much easier. These professionals are called buyer’s agents, and here are five reasons why you should work with one when purchasing a property on Martha’s Vineyard.

Reason #1: Buyer Representation

Many buyers work directly with listing agents, feeling that they have a broad enough understanding of the market and available properties that they will be able to help them find their dream home. The only problem is that listing agents are middle players. It’s one of their responsibilities to connect buyers with homes, but they’re far more invested in protecting the seller’s interest.

Listing agents receive a commission based on the sale price of a property. This means that they’re going to try to get the best deal possible for the seller, not the buyer. A buyer’s agent only focus is on you, the buyer, which brings us to the next point.

Reason #2: Buyer’s Agents are Powerful Negotiators

Once you find the perfect property, you want to pay the best price for it. Listing agents are skilled in the art of price negotiation, but most buyers aren’t. This means that as a homebuyer, you’re placing your financial future in the hands of someone who isn’t entirely on your team.

A buyer’s agent is an individual who understands price negotiation and can advise you on the how to make the best offer, what the property’s negotiating factors are and help you get the best deal on your new home.

Reason 3: They Know What to Look For

When you’re looking for a property, you probably have a pretty good idea of what features you absolutely want. A buyer’s agent can not only help you find the right property, but also give you honest advice about a home that seems perfect from the outside but might not live up to your dreams further down the road.

There are so many small details that get past home buyers but are easily picked up by the skillful eye of a buyer’s agent.

Reason 4: They’re Prepared for the Hurdles

Very few home buying experiences go through without a hitch. From appraisals and inspections to drawn-out price negotiations, something is bound to occur to set back the process and leave the buyer discouraged. A buyer’s agent comes to you already prepared for the potential setbacks and is proactive in their approach to getting you through them as quickly and smoothly as possible.

Reason 5: You Have Nothing to Lose

During the buying/selling transaction, it is the responsibility of the seller to pay all fees and commissions. This includes the fee for your buyer’s agent. Personal representation, with zero investment? It doesn’t get any better than that.

When you’re ready to become part of the wonderful community on Martha’s Vineyard, we’re the buyer’s agents that will stand by your side. Contact Martha’s Vineyard Buyer Agents today to learn more.

winter flurry blog

Winter Will Bring a Flurry of Activity to the Housing Market

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Winter Will Bring a Flurry of Activity to the Housing Market

In the second half of this year, the housing market surged with activity. Today, real estate experts are looking ahead to the winter season and the forecast is anything but chilly. As Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist for the National Association of Realtors (NAR), notes:

“It will be one of the best winter sales years ever.”

The typical winter slowdown in the housing market is simply not on the radar. Here’s why.

While today’s historically low mortgage rates are expected to remain low, they won’t be this low for much longer. This could be the last chance for homebuyers to secure such low rates, and they’re ready to take action. In a recent article, Bankrate explained:

“If you’re looking to buy a home…expect mortgage rates to remain low into 2021. However, the possibility of rates falling to 2.5 percent or lower has faded as the U.S. economy has rebounded.”

As long as we continue to see low-interest rates, we’ll see hopeful buyers on the hunt for their dream homes. Yun confirmed:

“The demand for home buying remains super strong…And we’re still likely to end the year with more homes sold overall in 2020 than in 2019…With persistent low mortgage rates and some degree of a continuing jobs recovery, more contract signings are expected in the near future.”

The challenge, however, is the lack of homes available for sale. With that in mind, all eyes are on homeowners to see if they’ll sell this winter or wait until spring. Danielle Hale, Chief Economist for realtor.com, says it’s best for sellers to capitalize on this moment sooner rather than later:

“We currently see buyers sticking around in the housing market much later than we usually do this fall. If that trend continues, we will see more buyers in the market this winter, too. So, this winter is likely to be a good time to sell.”

With buyers ready to stay active this winter, sellers who want to close a deal on the best possible terms shouldn’t wait until spring to put their homes on the market.

Bottom Line: Experts agree the winter housing market could potentially be bigger than ever. Whether you’re ready to buy or sell, contact a local real estate professional today so you can be in your dream home by the new year.

Home ownership is the key

Homeownership Is a Key to Building Wealth

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Homeownership Is a Key to Building Wealth

For years, real estate has been considered the best investment you can make. A major reason for this is due to the net worth a household gains through homeownership. In fact, according to the 2019 Survey of Consumer Finance Data from the Federal Reserve, for the average homeowner:

“…a primary home accounts for 90% of the total wealth of a family in the U.S.”

How do homeowners gain wealth?
Most large purchases, like cars and appliances, depreciate in value as they age, so it’s understandable to question how owning a home can increase wealth over time. In a simple equation, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) explains how the combination of paying your mortgage and home price appreciation grow overall wealth:

Principal Payments + Price Appreciation Gains = Housing Wealth Gain

As home values increase and you make payments toward your home loan, you’ll gain wealth through equity. The same article from NAR also addresses how wealth gains tend to play out over time:

“Housing wealth accumulation takes time and is built up by paying off the mortgage debt and by price appreciation. And while home prices can fall, home prices tend to recover and go up over the longer term. As of September 2020, the median sales price of existing home sales was $311,800, a 35% gain since July 2006 when prices peaked at $230,000.”

Taking a look at how equity has grown for the typical homeowner, it’s clear to see how real estate is a sound long-term investment. NAR notes:

“Nationally, a person who purchased a typical home 30 years ago would have typically gained about $283,000 as of the second quarter of 2020.” (See graph below):

Bottom Line

Whether you’re a current homeowner planning to put your equity toward a new home or have hopes of buying your first home soon, homeownership will always be a great opportunity to build your net worth and overall wealth. Owning a home is truly an investment in your financial future.

Information courtesy of keepingcurrentmatters.com

VA Home Loans

VA Home Loans: Helping Heroes Find a Home

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VA Home Loans: Helping Heroes Find a Home

Today, on Veterans Day, we honor those who have served our country and thank them for their continued dedication to our nation. In the United States, there are many valuable benefits available to Veterans, including VA home loans. For over 75 years, VA home loans have provided millions of Veterans and their families the opportunity to purchase their own homes.

As we consider the full impact of VA home loans, it’s important to both understand these great options for Veterans and to share them with those we know who may be able to benefit most. For a variety of different reasons, many Veterans don’t use their VA home loan options, so being knowledgeable about what’s available and how they work may be a game-changer for many.

Facts about 2019 VA Home Loans (most current data):

624,546 home loans were guaranteed by the Veterans Administration.
306,879 VA home loans were made without a down payment.
2,055 grants totaling $118 million were provided to help seriously disabled Veterans purchase, modify, or construct a home to meet their needs.

VA Home Loans Often Offer:

No down payment options as long as the sales price isn’t higher than the home’s appraised value.
Better terms and interest rates than loans from other lenders.
Fewer closing costs, which may be paid by the seller.

Bottom Line

The best thing you can do today to celebrate Veterans Day is to share this information with those who can potentially benefit from these loan options. For more information, contact a local real estate professional who can assist you in the process. Thank you for your service.

Information courtesy of keepingcurrentmatters.com

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3 GRAPHS THAT PROVE WE’RE NOT HEADED FOR A FORECLOSURE CRISIS

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3 Graphs That Prove We’re Not Headed for a Foreclosure Crisis

We all know the saying about assumptions.

And if you don’t, well…just Google it.

With the massive surge of unemployment that happened this year, it’s natural to assume that a massive surge of foreclosures will follow.

However, history is not expected to repeat itself this time.

Here are 3 simple graphs that prove why we’re not headed for another foreclosure crisis.

The unique conditions that led to the 2008 market collapse and foreclosure crisis were in big part due to cashed-out equity. With many borrowers owing more than they could afford on their homes, mass foreclosures followed.

Today’s market, however, looks a lot different. Instead, homeowners have an abundance of equity, and lending standards are much stricter. This means that instead of foreclosing and walking away, many homeowners are in a good position to protect their investment.

Looking at this graph, we can see that of those who requested forbearance, nearly 44% have either paid off their mortgage or opted out. It also shows that of all the homeowners in forbearance, only 80,000 are at risk of moving into foreclosures.

To drive this point home, Mike Fratantoni, Senior Vice President and Chief Economist at the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), said:

“Nearly two-thirds of borrowers who exited forbearance remained current on their payments, repaid their forborne payments, or moved into a payment deferral plan. All of these borrowers have been able to resume – or continue – their pre-pandemic monthly payments.”

After the 2008 financial collapse, we saw the worst foreclosure crises in history. The market was flooded with homes that had defaulted on their mortgage payments, spiking all the way up to over 500,000 at the peak in 2009.

Today, we are looking at a much different story. According to Black Knight, 91% of homeowners in forbearance have 11% equity in their homes. While that may not seem like a big number, that much equity means rather than foreclose, those homeowners can not only sell their homes but walk away with gains from it.

According to Odeta Kushi, economist for First American:

“Economic distress and a lack of equity are the two triggers of a foreclosure. Each trigger by itself is necessary, but not sufficient for foreclosure. The percentage of economically distressed homeowner households is highest in COVID-19 hotspots… However, the equity built up since the Great Recession can provide an important buffer for distressed homeowners.”

The big question is: what happens when forbearance inevitably expires? Many lenders are offering to help homeowners create a plan for the deferred payments. There are multiple options that homeowners can pursue at this point, and with the right planning and communication with their lender, they may be able to avoid foreclosure, especially if they have equity in their homes.

Bottom Line

The reality of the situation is this: through all of the hardship Americans have faced this year, people are going to fall into foreclosure.

However, the last thing anyone wants right now is another foreclosure crisis like 2008, and there are many factors that suggest it’s not going to be like last time.

Anyone can drive a car really fast in a straight line. It’s those that can navigate the twists and turns that cross the finish line first.

That’s why we’ve put together the How to Succeed in a Changing Market eGuide. This free resource tells you everything you need to know about navigating a changing market so you can be the real estate agent your clients trust-especially when times are tough.

Information courtesy of: KCM Real Estate Blog

Savings plans for housing ,financial concept

Real Estate Is a Driving Force in the Economy

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Real Estate Is a Driving Force in the Economy

As the economy recovers from this year’s health crisis, the housing market is playing a leading role in the turnaround. It’s safe to say that what we call “home” is taking on a new meaning, causing many of us to consider buying or selling sooner rather than later. Housing, therefore, has thrived in an otherwise down year.

Today’s high buyer demand combined with low housing inventory means we’re seeing home prices appreciate at an above-average pace. This demand is being driven by those who want to take advantage of historically low mortgage rates. According to Freddie Mac:

“The record low mortgage rate environment is providing tangible support to the economy at a critical time, as housing continues to propel growth.”

These factors are driving a positive impact on the economy as a whole. According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR), the real estate industry provided $3.7 billion dollars of economic impact to the country last year. To break it down, in 2019, the average newly constructed home contributed just over $88,000 per build to local economies. Across the country, real estate clearly makes a significant impact (See map below):


In addition, last week, the Bureau of Economic Analysis announced the U.S. Gross Domestic Product increased at an annual rate of 33.1% in the 3rd quarter of this year, after decreasing by 31.4% in the second quarter. There’s no doubt the growing economy is being fueled in part by the soaring housing market. Experts forecast this housing growth to carry into 2021, continuing to make a big impact on the economy next year as well.

Bottom Line

The American Dream of homeownership has continued to thrive in the midst of this year’s economic downturn, and “home” has taken on a new meaning for many of us during this time. Best of all, the housing market is making a significant impact as the economy recovers.

Information courtesy of  keepingcurrentmatters.com

Discussing financial future

Rent vs. Buy: How to Decide What’s Best for You

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Rent vs. Buy: How to Decide What’s Best for You

According to the U.S. Census Bureau, median rent continues to rise. With today’s low mortgage rates, there’s great opportunity for current renters to make a move into homeownership that stretches each dollar a little bit further.

While the best timeline to buy a home is different for everyone, the question remains: Should I continue renting or is it time for me to buy? The answer depends on your current situation and your future plans, so here are some thoughts to help you decide if you’re ready to own a home of your own.

1. Rent Will Continue to Increase

This is one of the top reasons why renters decide to move because in most cases, rent will continue increasing each year. As noted above, the U.S. Census Bureau recently released its quarterly homeownership report, and as the graph below shows, median rent is climbing year after year. When you own a home, you’ll lock in your monthly payment for the life of your loan, creating consistency and predictability in your payments.

2. Freedom to Customize

This is a big decision-making point for many people who want to be able to paint, renovate, and make home upgrades. In many cases, landlords determine all of these selections and prefer you do not alter them as a renter. As a homeowner, you have the freedom to decorate and personalize your home to truly make it your own.

3. Privacy

When renting, your landlord has access to your space in case of an emergency. If you own your home, however, you’re the one to decide who can come inside. Given today’s health concerns around the pandemic, this may be a growing priority for you.

4. Flexibility for Relocation

If you’re renting, it may be easier to move quickly should you have a job transfer or simply decide it’s time for a change. When you’re a homeowner and need to sell your house, this might take a little more time. Today, however, with the housing market’s low inventory, this may no longer be the case. Homes are selling at a record-breaking pace, so you may have more flexibility than you think.

5. Building Equity

When you pay your rent, your landlord earns the equity the property gains. If you own your home, the benefits of your investment go directly toward your net worth. This is savings you’ll be able to use in the future for things like sending children to college, starting a new business, buying a bigger home, or simply downsizing to save for retirement.

6. Tax Advantages

When you own your home, there are additional advantages that work in your favor as well. You can deduct things like your property taxes and mortgage interest (Always make sure you check with your accountant to see which tax-deductible benefits apply to your situation). When you rent, however, the tax benefits are directed to your landlord.

Bottom Line

It’s up to you to decide if you’d prefer to rent or buy, and it’s different for every person. If you’d like to learn more about the pros and cons of each, as well as resources to help you along the way, contact a local real estate professional to discuss your options. This way, you can make a confident and informed decision with a trusted expert on your side.

Information courtesy of keepingcurrentmatters.com

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